DSGE model restrictions for structural VAR identification

نویسندگان

  • Philip Liu
  • Konstantinos Theodoridis
چکیده

The identification of reduced-form VAR model had been the subject of numerous debates in the literature. Different sets of identifying assumptions can lead to very different conclusions in the policy debate. This paper proposes a theoretical consistent identification strategy using restrictions implied by a DSGE model. Monte Carlo simulations suggest the proposed identification strategy is successful in recovering the true structural shocks from the data. In the face of misspecified model restrictions, the data tend to push the identified VAR responses away from the misspecified model and closer to the true data generating process. JEL classification: F41, E52.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Misspecification of Expectations in New Keynesian Models: A DSGE-VAR Approach

This paper tests the ability of popular New Keynesian models, which are traditionally used to study monetary policy and business cycles, to match the data regarding a key channel for monetary transmission: the dynamic interactions between macroeconomic variables and their corresponding expectations. In the empirical analysis, we exploit direct data on expectations from surveys. To explain the j...

متن کامل

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) Priors for Bayesian Vector Autoregressive (BVAR) Models: DSGE Model Comparison

This Paper describes a procedure for constructing theory restricted prior distributions for BVAR models. The Bayes Factor, which is obtained without any additional computational effort, can be used to assess the plausibility of the restrictions imposed on the VAR parameter vector by competing DSGE models. In other words, it is possible to rank the amount of abstraction implied by each DSGE mode...

متن کامل

Model Validation and DSGE Modeling

The primary objective of this paper is to revisit DSGE models with a view to appraise their statistical adequacy and propose ways to ameliorate their empirical pertinence. This paper brings out several weaknesses of the traditional DSGE modeling, including statistical misspecification, non-identification of deep parameters, substantive inadequacy, weak forecasting performance and potentially mi...

متن کامل

From time-varying macro-dynamics to time-varying estimates of DSGE parameters∗

This paper estimates a 7 variable TVP-VAR on US data using kernel methods. We identify monetary policy shocks using sign restrictions for each period in our sample. We then fit the SmetsWouters (2007) model to these impulse responses, tracing out evolutions in the structural DSGE parameters over time. Parameters defining nominal rigidities move a lot. Some real side ones move a lot (investment ...

متن کامل

A Program for the Identification of Structural VAR-Models

This paper presents a menu-driven RATS-program which allows to identify structural shocks in vector-autoregressive (VAR) models. Identification is achieved by imposing short-run or long-run restrictions (or a combination of both) on the structural form of a model. The only requirement is that the matrix of restrictions consisting of rows of the restricted matrices of short-run and long-run effe...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2009